AFCON Qualifying 1st Round Final
Global 2-1
Kenya vs Comoros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.3%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.9%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
16.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.8%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15.3%
6.3%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kenya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2013 |
KEN
2 - 0
SDN
40%
28%
32%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
KEN
1 - 0
NAM
43%
27%
31%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2013 |
KEN
1 - 2
BOT
34%
28%
38%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2013 |
KEN
2 - 0
SWZ
69%
19%
12%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2013 |
KEN
2 - 2
LSO
62%
21%
17%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Comoros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
BFA
1 - 1
COM
86%
11%
4%
|
10 | 68 | 58 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
MOZ
4 - 1
COM
79%
15%
6%
|
11 | 64 | 53 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
COM
0 - 1
MOZ
12%
18%
70%
|
11 | 64 | 53 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
MOZ
3 - 0
COM
79%
16%
6%
|
11 | 64 | 53 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
COM
1 - 2
ZAM
7%
15%
79%
|
11 | 77 | 66 | 0 |