Kenya vs Chad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.7%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
16.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.2%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.2%
13.1%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kenya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2025 |
CHA
0 - 0
KEN
15%
22%
63%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
KEN
1 - 2
GAB
32%
28%
41%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2025 |
GAM
3 - 3
KEN
37%
27%
36%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2025 |
ZAN
1 - 0
KEN
72%
17%
11%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2025 |
TAN
0 - 2
KEN
34%
26%
39%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Chad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2025 |
CHA
0 - 0
KEN
15%
22%
63%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2025 |
COM
1 - 0
CHA
66%
20%
14%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2025 |
GHA
5 - 0
CHA
81%
15%
5%
|
48 | 79 | 31 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2024 |
COD
3 - 1
CHA
80%
15%
5%
|
49 | 74 | 25 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 1
COD
9%
17%
75%
|
48 | 74 | 26 | +1 |