Kenya vs Eritrea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.5%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.5%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
13%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13%
6.5%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kenya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2000 |
KEN
3 - 5
UGA
35%
27%
37%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2000 |
KEN
2 - 0
TAN
59%
24%
17%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2000 |
KEN
2 - 3
BDI
78%
16%
6%
|
68 | 47 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2000 |
KEN
1 - 1
LSO
70%
19%
11%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2000 |
KEN
1 - 0
BDI
78%
15%
6%
|
69 | 47 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Eritrea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2000 |
RWA
1 - 0
ERI
83%
11%
6%
|
9 | 62 | 53 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1999 |
ERI
0 - 2
SEN
9%
21%
71%
|
9 | 72 | 63 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 1999 |
KEN
1 - 0
ERI
78%
14%
8%
|
9 | 67 | 58 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 1999 |
SEN
6 - 2
ERI
82%
15%
4%
|
9 | 72 | 63 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 1999 |
ERI
0 - 1
ZIM
9%
21%
71%
|
10 | 73 | 63 | -1 |