Japan vs Paraguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
23.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2010 |
PAR
0 - 0
JPN
43%
25%
33%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2010 |
DEN
1 - 3
JPN
62%
20%
17%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 2010 |
NED
1 - 0
JPN
83%
12%
5%
|
89 | 97 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2010 |
JPN
1 - 0
CMR
57%
23%
21%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2010 |
CIV
2 - 0
JPN
37%
27%
36%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2010 |
PAR
2 - 0
CRC
54%
24%
22%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2010 |
PAR
0 - 1
ESP
5%
12%
83%
|
90 | 99 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 2010 |
PAR
0 - 0
JPN
43%
25%
33%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2010 |
PAR
0 - 0
NZL
83%
13%
5%
|
90 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2010 |
SVK
0 - 2
PAR
36%
26%
38%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |