Japan vs Mongolia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
92.3%
Win probability
3.39
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.4%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.1%
+8
1.2%
7-0
2.5%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.8%
6-0
5.1%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
6%
5-0
9%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
10.8%
4-0
13.2%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
16.6%
3-0
15.6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.6%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.8%
6%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
2.7%
2-2
0.8%
3-3
0.1%
0
6%
1.6%
Win probability
0.34
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
0.5%
2-3
0.1%
-1
1.4%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2019 |
MMR
0 - 2
JPN
10%
20%
71%
|
88 | 47 | 41 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2019 |
JPN
2 - 0
PAR
62%
21%
17%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2019 |
ECU
1 - 1
JPN
46%
24%
30%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2019 |
URU
2 - 2
JPN
60%
21%
19%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2019 |
JPN
0 - 4
CHI
42%
24%
34%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Mongolia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2019 |
MNG
0 - 1
TJK
6%
11%
83%
|
31 | 60 | 29 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2019 |
MNG
1 - 0
MMR
11%
16%
73%
|
26 | 48 | 22 | +5 |
| 11 Jun. 2019 |
BRN
2 - 1
MNG
34%
21%
46%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2019 |
MNG
2 - 0
BRN
58%
20%
23%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2018 |
MNG
1 - 5
HKG
12%
21%
67%
|
28 | 54 | 26 | -2 |