Japan vs Cameroon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
17.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
ROU
1 - 1
JPN
60%
22%
18%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2003 |
TUN
0 - 1
JPN
31%
27%
42%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2003 |
JPN
0 - 1
SEN
72%
18%
10%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2003 |
JPN
3 - 0
NGA
63%
22%
15%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2003 |
JPN
0 - 1
COL
39%
26%
35%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Cameroon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2003 |
CMR
4 - 0
URU
28%
27%
45%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2003 |
CMR
0 - 1
FRA
2%
11%
87%
|
87 | 99 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2003 |
CMR
1 - 0
COL
20%
26%
55%
|
86 | 92 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 2003 |
USA
0 - 0
CMR
69%
19%
12%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2003 |
CMR
1 - 0
TUR
33%
27%
40%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |