Japan vs Hong Kong analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
92%
Win probability
3.08
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.2%
+7
2.1%
6-0
4.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
4.8%
5-0
8.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
<0%
+5
9.5%
4-0
13.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
15.8%
3-0
17.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.2%
+3
21.2%
2-0
17.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
15.7%
6.7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
2.5%
2-2
0.4%
3-3
<0%
0
6.7%
1.3%
Win probability
0.23
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
0.3%
2-3
0%
-1
1.1%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0%
-2
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2022 |
JPN
0 - 3
TUN
73%
17%
10%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2022 |
JPN
4 - 1
GHA
78%
15%
8%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2022 |
JPN
0 - 1
BRA
6%
16%
78%
|
89 | 97 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2022 |
JPN
4 - 1
PAR
68%
19%
13%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2021 |
OMA
0 - 1
JPN
17%
24%
59%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Hong Kong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2022 |
IND
4 - 0
HKG
51%
24%
25%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
KHM
0 - 3
HKG
15%
21%
63%
|
51 | 31 | 20 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2022 |
HKG
2 - 1
AFG
52%
24%
24%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2022 |
MAS
2 - 0
HKG
47%
26%
27%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2021 |
BHR
4 - 0
HKG
80%
14%
6%
|
52 | 77 | 25 | 0 |