Japan vs North Korea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.4%
Win probability
3.05
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.9%
5-0
6%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.9%
4-0
9.9%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.7%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.3%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
9.6%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
9.6%
4%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
IRN
2 - 1
JPN
41%
24%
35%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2024 |
BHR
1 - 3
JPN
11%
18%
71%
|
90 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
JPN
3 - 1
IDN
87%
9%
4%
|
90 | 58 | 32 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2024 |
IRQ
2 - 1
JPN
13%
20%
67%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
JPN
4 - 2
VIE
89%
8%
3%
|
90 | 67 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
North Korea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
MMR
1 - 6
PRK
6%
14%
80%
|
69 | 38 | 31 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2023 |
SYR
1 - 0
PRK
45%
24%
31%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2019 |
PRK
0 - 0
KOR
13%
23%
64%
|
70 | 89 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2019 |
TJK
0 - 1
PRK
25%
23%
52%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2019 |
PRK
1 - 0
TJK
52%
24%
24%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | +1 |