Italy vs Malta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.3%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.4%
4-0
10.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
12.4%
3-0
15.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.5%
2-0
17.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.6%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.2%
10.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.1%
0
10.6%
3%
Win probability
0.34
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
ITA
2 - 1
UKR
62%
21%
17%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
MKD
1 - 1
ITA
10%
20%
70%
|
92 | 74 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
NLD
2 - 3
ITA
58%
21%
21%
|
92 | 93 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2023 |
ESP
2 - 1
ITA
62%
20%
17%
|
92 | 94 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
MLT
0 - 2
ITA
5%
16%
79%
|
92 | 50 | 42 | 0 |
Matches
Malta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
MLT
0 - 2
MKD
15%
21%
64%
|
51 | 74 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2023 |
MLT
1 - 0
GIB
64%
18%
17%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2023 |
UKR
1 - 0
MLT
78%
15%
7%
|
51 | 87 | 36 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2023 |
MLT
0 - 4
ENG
3%
12%
84%
|
51 | 94 | 43 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2023 |
LUX
0 - 1
MLT
64%
20%
16%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | +1 |