Italy vs Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
42.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2022 |
ITA
0 - 3
ARG
33%
26%
41%
|
93 | 94 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2022 |
TUR
2 - 3
ITA
22%
26%
53%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2022 |
ITA
0 - 1
MKD
82%
14%
4%
|
93 | 77 | 16 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2021 |
NIR
0 - 0
ITA
8%
20%
71%
|
93 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2021 |
ITA
1 - 1
CHE
61%
22%
18%
|
93 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2022 |
NLD
1 - 1
DEU
43%
23%
35%
|
93 | 93 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
DEU
2 - 0
ISR
89%
8%
3%
|
93 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
ARM
1 - 4
DEU
4%
12%
84%
|
93 | 70 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2021 |
DEU
9 - 0
LIE
95%
4%
1%
|
93 | 32 | 61 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2021 |
MKD
0 - 4
DEU
5%
13%
82%
|
93 | 76 | 17 | 0 |