Cook Islands vs Vanuatu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.5%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
41.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cook Islands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2007 |
COK
0 - 1
TAH
16%
21%
63%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
COK
4 - 1
TUV
23%
23%
54%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | +4 |
| 30 Aug. 2007 |
NCL
3 - 0
COK
79%
14%
7%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2007 |
FIJ
4 - 0
COK
89%
8%
2%
|
30 | 56 | 26 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2004 |
NCL
8 - 0
COK
69%
18%
13%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Vanuatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2008 |
NCL
3 - 0
VAN
64%
20%
16%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2008 |
VAN
1 - 1
NCL
28%
24%
49%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2007 |
NZL
4 - 1
VAN
89%
9%
2%
|
44 | 72 | 28 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
VAN
1 - 2
NZL
5%
13%
82%
|
44 | 72 | 28 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
SOL
0 - 2
VAN
68%
18%
13%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | +1 |