Cook Islands vs Vanuatu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.6%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
19.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cook Islands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2000 |
COK
2 - 4
GLP
48%
23%
29%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1998 |
FIJ
3 - 0
COK
73%
17%
10%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1998 |
AUS
16 - 0
COK
82%
14%
5%
|
39 | 88 | 49 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 1998 |
COK
2 - 1
PNG
48%
23%
29%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | +2 |
| 13 Nov. 1996 |
SAM
2 - 1
COK
58%
23%
19%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Vanuatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1998 |
TAH
5 - 1
VAN
68%
19%
13%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1998 |
NZL
8 - 1
VAN
86%
10%
4%
|
38 | 72 | 34 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1996 |
PNG
2 - 1
VAN
64%
22%
15%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 1996 |
SOL
1 - 1
VAN
58%
23%
19%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1995 |
FIJ
3 - 0
VAN
72%
16%
12%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | 0 |