Cook Islands vs Tuvalu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.2%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
53.5%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cook Islands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2007 |
NCL
3 - 0
COK
79%
14%
7%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2007 |
FIJ
4 - 0
COK
89%
8%
2%
|
30 | 56 | 26 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2004 |
NCL
8 - 0
COK
69%
18%
13%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2004 |
TON
2 - 1
COK
16%
21%
62%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | -2 |
| 12 May. 2004 |
SOL
5 - 0
COK
75%
16%
9%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Tuvalu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2007 |
TUV
1 - 1
TAH
22%
23%
55%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2007 |
TUV
0 - 1
NCL
34%
24%
42%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
FIJ
16 - 0
TUV
83%
12%
5%
|
39 | 56 | 17 | -1 |