Cook Islands vs American Samoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.2%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.6%
3-0
9%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.8%
10%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cook Islands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
COK
1 - 3
TON
87%
10%
3%
|
36 | 9 | 27 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
TAH
1 - 1
COK
61%
21%
19%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2022 |
COK
0 - 2
SOL
24%
24%
52%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2015 |
ASA
2 - 0
COK
8%
16%
76%
|
30 | 12 | 18 | +7 |
| 02 Sep. 2015 |
COK
1 - 0
SAM
46%
24%
31%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
American Samoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
ASA
0 - 2
SAM
5%
14%
81%
|
9 | 34 | 25 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2015 |
ASA
2 - 0
COK
8%
16%
76%
|
12 | 30 | 18 | -3 |
| 02 Sep. 2015 |
TON
1 - 2
ASA
84%
12%
4%
|
10 | 21 | 11 | +2 |
| 31 Aug. 2015 |
SAM
3 - 2
ASA
86%
11%
3%
|
11 | 29 | 18 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2015 |
FIJ
6 - 0
ASA
85%
11%
4%
|
11 | 56 | 45 | 0 |