Iceland vs Ukraine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
34.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iceland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1999 |
ISL
3 - 0
AND
80%
14%
6%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1999 |
FRO
0 - 1
ISL
29%
27%
45%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 1999 |
RUS
1 - 0
ISL
86%
10%
4%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 1999 |
ISL
2 - 0
ARM
62%
22%
16%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 1999 |
MLT
1 - 2
ISL
19%
26%
55%
|
77 | 55 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Ukraine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1999 |
UKR
0 - 0
FRA
8%
20%
72%
|
83 | 98 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1999 |
UKR
1 - 1
BGR
38%
25%
36%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1999 |
ARM
0 - 0
UKR
23%
26%
51%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1999 |
UKR
4 - 0
AND
88%
9%
3%
|
83 | 60 | 23 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1999 |
UKR
1 - 1
ISL
75%
16%
9%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |