Iceland vs Norway analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.1%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.8%
28%
Draw
0-0
12%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
50.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
16.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.3%
0-2
11%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iceland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 1997 |
ISL
0 - 0
LTU
44%
26%
31%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1997 |
MKD
1 - 0
ISL
52%
24%
24%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1997 |
SVK
3 - 1
ISL
75%
15%
10%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 1996 |
IRL
0 - 0
ISL
73%
19%
9%
|
74 | 89 | 15 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 1996 |
ISL
0 - 4
ROU
19%
27%
54%
|
74 | 90 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 1997 |
HUN
1 - 1
NOR
40%
28%
32%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1997 |
NOR
4 - 2
BRA
15%
23%
62%
|
88 | 98 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 1997 |
NOR
1 - 1
FIN
72%
19%
9%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 1997 |
UAE
1 - 4
NOR
26%
27%
48%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 1997 |
AUS
1 - 0
NOR
37%
29%
34%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |