Iceland vs Macedonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
21.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iceland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1996 |
EST
0 - 3
ISL
23%
26%
51%
|
74 | 53 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1996 |
MLT
1 - 4
ISL
29%
28%
44%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1996 |
RUS
3 - 0
ISL
84%
11%
5%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1996 |
SVN
7 - 1
ISL
65%
19%
16%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 1995 |
HUN
1 - 0
ISL
69%
20%
11%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Macedonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 1996 |
BGR
3 - 0
MKD
89%
8%
3%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1996 |
MKD
3 - 0
LIE
88%
10%
2%
|
72 | 13 | 59 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1996 |
MKD
1 - 0
MLT
68%
19%
13%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 1995 |
ESP
3 - 0
MKD
94%
5%
1%
|
71 | 94 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1995 |
CYP
1 - 1
MKD
39%
25%
35%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |