Iceland vs Luxembourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.7%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
13.1%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iceland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2023 |
ISL
1 - 0
BIH
37%
26%
37%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
LUX
3 - 1
ISL
19%
22%
59%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 2023 |
ISL
0 - 1
POR
7%
17%
76%
|
77 | 93 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
ISL
1 - 2
SVK
31%
26%
43%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
LIE
0 - 7
ISL
5%
13%
82%
|
77 | 28 | 49 | 0 |
Matches
Luxembourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2023 |
POR
9 - 0
LUX
90%
8%
2%
|
63 | 93 | 30 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
LUX
3 - 1
ISL
19%
22%
59%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | +2 |
| 20 Jun. 2023 |
BIH
0 - 2
LUX
77%
15%
7%
|
59 | 82 | 23 | +2 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
LUX
2 - 0
LIE
85%
11%
4%
|
59 | 28 | 31 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2023 |
LUX
0 - 1
MLT
64%
20%
16%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | -1 |