Iceland vs Liechtenstein analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.3%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
12%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.7%
6%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iceland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2010 |
ISL
4 - 0
AND
86%
11%
3%
|
80 | 49 | 31 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2010 |
MEX
0 - 0
ISL
80%
14%
6%
|
80 | 93 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
ISL
2 - 0
FRO
77%
16%
8%
|
80 | 56 | 24 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2010 |
CYP
0 - 0
ISL
57%
22%
21%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
LUX
1 - 1
ISL
13%
21%
66%
|
81 | 39 | 42 | -1 |
Matches
Liechtenstein
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
CRO
5 - 0
LIE
81%
14%
5%
|
27 | 94 | 67 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2009 |
LIE
0 - 2
WAL
9%
21%
70%
|
27 | 88 | 61 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
LIE
0 - 2
AZE
24%
24%
52%
|
27 | 66 | 39 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2009 |
LIE
1 - 1
FIN
13%
22%
65%
|
26 | 86 | 60 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
RUS
3 - 0
LIE
80%
14%
5%
|
26 | 93 | 67 | 0 |