Iceland vs Liechtenstein analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
88.1%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
<0%
+5
6.8%
4-0
11.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
13%
3-0
17%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.2%
+3
20.1%
2-0
19.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.9%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
19.8%
9.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
0.6%
3-3
<0%
0
9.7%
2.1%
Win probability
0.26
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
0.5%
2-3
0.1%
-1
1.9%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iceland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2008 |
MLT
0 - 1
ISL
16%
22%
62%
|
81 | 55 | 26 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2008 |
ISL
1 - 0
MKD
52%
24%
24%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
NED
2 - 0
ISL
80%
15%
5%
|
81 | 98 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2008 |
ISL
1 - 2
SCO
29%
29%
42%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
NOR
2 - 2
ISL
71%
19%
10%
|
81 | 91 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Liechtenstein
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2008 |
SVK
4 - 0
LIE
88%
10%
3%
|
27 | 87 | 60 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
WAL
2 - 0
LIE
82%
14%
4%
|
27 | 88 | 61 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2008 |
AZE
0 - 0
LIE
62%
22%
16%
|
26 | 66 | 40 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
LIE
0 - 6
GER
8%
18%
74%
|
26 | 97 | 71 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2008 |
ALB
2 - 0
LIE
78%
16%
6%
|
26 | 76 | 50 | 0 |