Iceland vs Estonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.9%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
11.3%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iceland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2022 |
KOR
1 - 0
ISL
73%
17%
10%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
ISL
0 - 1
KSA
37%
26%
36%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
ALB
1 - 1
ISL
29%
25%
46%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2022 |
ISL
1 - 0
VEN
33%
26%
41%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2022 |
ISL
2 - 2
ISR
38%
25%
37%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Estonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2022 |
SMR
0 - 4
EST
6%
17%
76%
|
66 | 19 | 47 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
EST
2 - 1
MLT
74%
17%
9%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2022 |
ALB
0 - 0
EST
59%
24%
17%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2022 |
MLT
1 - 2
EST
25%
25%
51%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
ARG
5 - 0
EST
92%
7%
2%
|
66 | 94 | 28 | -1 |