Iceland vs Azerbaijan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.5%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.1%
9.4%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iceland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2025 |
NIR
1 - 0
ISL
39%
26%
35%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2025 |
SCO
1 - 3
ISL
57%
23%
20%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
ISL
1 - 3
XXK
55%
23%
22%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2025 |
XXK
2 - 1
ISL
31%
24%
45%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2024 |
WAL
4 - 1
ISL
52%
25%
24%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Azerbaijan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2025 |
AZE
1 - 2
HUN
11%
20%
70%
|
61 | 85 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2025 |
LVA
0 - 0
AZE
32%
25%
42%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2025 |
AZE
0 - 2
BLR
28%
26%
47%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
AZE
0 - 3
HTI
24%
23%
53%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2024 |
SWE
6 - 0
AZE
79%
15%
7%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | -1 |