Iraq vs South Korea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.4%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.5%
55.2%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iraq
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2017 |
IRQ
1 - 0
JOR
40%
28%
32%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2017 |
KSA
1 - 0
IRQ
51%
26%
23%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2017 |
IRQ
1 - 1
AUS
20%
25%
55%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
IRN
0 - 1
IRQ
75%
17%
8%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2016 |
UAE
2 - 0
IRQ
61%
22%
18%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
South Korea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2017 |
KOR
1 - 0
SYR
69%
19%
12%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2017 |
CHN
1 - 0
KOR
31%
26%
43%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2016 |
KOR
2 - 1
UZB
63%
21%
16%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2016 |
KOR
2 - 0
CAN
72%
18%
10%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2016 |
IRN
1 - 0
KOR
47%
25%
27%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | -1 |