Iraq vs Qatar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.4%
36.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iraq
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2017 |
BHR
1 - 1
IRQ
36%
27%
38%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2017 |
IRQ
2 - 1
KEN
67%
22%
11%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2017 |
IRQ
1 - 0
UAE
35%
29%
36%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2017 |
THA
1 - 2
IRQ
45%
26%
30%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2017 |
IRQ
1 - 1
JPN
15%
23%
61%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Qatar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2017 |
QAT
4 - 0
YEM
83%
13%
4%
|
80 | 53 | 27 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2017 |
QAT
1 - 2
LIE
87%
11%
3%
|
80 | 28 | 52 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2017 |
QAT
1 - 1
ISL
43%
26%
31%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
QAT
0 - 1
CZE
28%
25%
46%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2017 |
QAT
1 - 2
CUW
88%
9%
3%
|
81 | 52 | 29 | -1 |