Iraq vs New Zealand analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.6%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
12%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
12.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iraq
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2009 |
ESP
1 - 0
IRQ
93%
7%
1%
|
83 | 99 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2009 |
RSA
0 - 0
IRQ
43%
25%
32%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2009 |
IRQ
1 - 1
POL
21%
25%
53%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
QAT
1 - 0
IRQ
45%
26%
29%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
KOR
2 - 1
IRQ
62%
23%
15%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
New Zealand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2009 |
RSA
2 - 0
NZL
67%
20%
14%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2009 |
NZL
0 - 5
ESP
1%
7%
92%
|
71 | 99 | 28 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2009 |
ITA
4 - 3
NZL
76%
17%
6%
|
71 | 98 | 27 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2009 |
BOT
0 - 0
NZL
26%
25%
48%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2009 |
TAN
2 - 1
NZL
32%
26%
43%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |