Iraq vs Japan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
55.4%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iraq
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2013 |
OMA
1 - 0
IRQ
42%
27%
31%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2013 |
CHN
1 - 0
IRQ
50%
24%
26%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
IRQ
1 - 0
IDN
69%
19%
12%
|
82 | 60 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2013 |
IRQ
3 - 0
MAS
72%
19%
9%
|
81 | 60 | 21 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2013 |
UAE
2 - 1
IRQ
43%
24%
33%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2013 |
JPN
1 - 1
AUS
52%
25%
23%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2013 |
JPN
0 - 2
BGR
59%
23%
18%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2013 |
JOR
2 - 1
JPN
15%
23%
61%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2013 |
JPN
2 - 1
CAN
72%
19%
9%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
JPN
3 - 0
LVA
78%
16%
6%
|
90 | 72 | 18 | 0 |