Iraq vs Egypt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
43.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
24%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iraq
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
IRQ
7 - 1
SGP
72%
19%
9%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
LBN
1 - 0
IRQ
16%
23%
61%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
JOR
1 - 3
IRQ
38%
28%
34%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
IRQ
1 - 0
CHN
35%
28%
38%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
IRQ
1 - 0
LBN
72%
18%
10%
|
82 | 59 | 23 | +1 |
Matches
Egypt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
EGY
3 - 0
MTN
97%
2%
0%
|
89 | 50 | 39 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2012 |
EGY
3 - 2
NGA
63%
21%
16%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
EGY
4 - 0
CHA
97%
3%
0%
|
89 | 49 | 40 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2012 |
EGY
2 - 1
UGA
83%
12%
5%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2012 |
EGY
0 - 0
COD
84%
12%
5%
|
90 | 73 | 17 | -1 |