Iraq vs Lebanon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.1%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.2%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.2%
10.7%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iraq
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2021 |
IRQ
0 - 3
IRN
17%
25%
58%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2021 |
KOR
0 - 0
IRQ
69%
19%
12%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2021 |
IRN
1 - 0
IRQ
76%
16%
8%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2021 |
HKG
0 - 1
IRQ
11%
20%
69%
|
81 | 52 | 29 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2021 |
IRQ
4 - 1
KHM
83%
13%
4%
|
81 | 33 | 48 | 0 |
Matches
Lebanon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2021 |
KOR
1 - 0
LBN
78%
15%
7%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2021 |
UAE
0 - 0
LBN
75%
16%
9%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 2021 |
LBN
1 - 0
DJI
80%
14%
6%
|
65 | 35 | 30 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
KOR
2 - 1
LBN
79%
15%
6%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2021 |
TKM
3 - 2
LBN
30%
26%
44%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |