Iraq vs Lebanon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.1%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.3%
9.6%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iraq
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2011 |
CHN
0 - 1
IRQ
61%
22%
17%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2011 |
SGP
0 - 2
IRQ
25%
25%
50%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2011 |
IRQ
0 - 2
JOR
55%
25%
20%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2011 |
QAT
0 - 1
IRQ
45%
26%
29%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2011 |
YEM
0 - 0
IRQ
18%
22%
60%
|
82 | 60 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Lebanon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2011 |
LBN
2 - 2
KWT
17%
24%
59%
|
59 | 82 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2011 |
LBN
3 - 1
UAE
20%
25%
55%
|
57 | 78 | 21 | +2 |
| 02 Sep. 2011 |
KOR
6 - 0
LBN
74%
18%
8%
|
57 | 91 | 34 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2011 |
LBN
2 - 3
SYR
18%
22%
60%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2011 |
BGD
2 - 0
LBN
17%
21%
62%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | -1 |