Iraq vs North Korea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
17.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iraq
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
UAE
0 - 1
IRQ
35%
24%
41%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2011 |
IRQ
1 - 2
IRN
19%
23%
58%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2011 |
IRQ
2 - 3
CHN
40%
28%
32%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2010 |
KSA
0 - 1
IRQ
51%
26%
23%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2010 |
SYR
0 - 1
IRQ
38%
25%
37%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
North Korea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
IRN
1 - 0
PRK
80%
14%
6%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2011 |
PRK
0 - 0
UAE
42%
26%
32%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2011 |
BHR
0 - 1
PRK
59%
23%
18%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2010 |
QAT
0 - 1
PRK
59%
24%
18%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Dec. 2010 |
KWT
2 - 2
PRK
67%
20%
13%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |