Iraq vs North Korea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.6%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
16.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iraq
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
AUS
1 - 0
IRQ
66%
21%
14%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2011 |
IRQ
1 - 0
PRK
60%
23%
18%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
UAE
0 - 1
IRQ
35%
24%
41%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2011 |
IRQ
1 - 2
IRN
19%
23%
58%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2011 |
IRQ
2 - 3
CHN
40%
28%
32%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
North Korea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2011 |
IRQ
1 - 0
PRK
60%
23%
18%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
IRN
1 - 0
PRK
80%
14%
6%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2011 |
PRK
0 - 0
UAE
42%
26%
32%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2011 |
BHR
0 - 1
PRK
59%
23%
18%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2010 |
QAT
0 - 1
PRK
59%
24%
18%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |