Iraq vs North Korea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
16.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iraq
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
IRQ
0 - 0
PAK
85%
12%
3%
|
84 | 42 | 42 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2007 |
PAK
0 - 7
IRQ
9%
18%
73%
|
84 | 42 | 42 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2007 |
QAT
3 - 2
IRQ
37%
27%
36%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2007 |
IRQ
1 - 0
KSA
36%
26%
38%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2007 |
IRQ
0 - 0
KOR
20%
22%
58%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
North Korea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
PRK
5 - 1
MNG
80%
13%
7%
|
75 | 36 | 39 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
MNG
1 - 4
PRK
13%
18%
69%
|
75 | 37 | 38 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2007 |
PRK
1 - 1
KSA
32%
28%
40%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2007 |
NPL
1 - 0
PRK
21%
22%
58%
|
75 | 54 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2007 |
OMA
4 - 3
PRK
60%
22%
19%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |