Iraq vs China analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
38.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iraq
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2018 |
IRQ
0 - 0
BOL
38%
27%
35%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2018 |
KSA
1 - 1
IRQ
45%
27%
28%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2018 |
ARG
4 - 0
IRQ
84%
12%
4%
|
78 | 92 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2018 |
KWT
2 - 2
IRQ
45%
25%
30%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2018 |
IRQ
0 - 0
PLE
67%
21%
12%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
China
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2018 |
CHN
1 - 1
PLE
76%
16%
8%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
CHN
2 - 0
SYR
53%
24%
23%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
CHN
0 - 0
IND
85%
12%
3%
|
82 | 53 | 29 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2018 |
BHR
0 - 0
CHN
28%
27%
45%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2018 |
QAT
1 - 0
CHN
44%
26%
30%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |