Iraq vs Azerbaijan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.2%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
19%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19%
9.8%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iraq
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2009 |
IRQ
4 - 0
PLE
80%
15%
5%
|
83 | 56 | 27 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2009 |
IRQ
3 - 0
PLE
80%
15%
6%
|
83 | 56 | 27 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2009 |
IRQ
0 - 0
NZL
69%
19%
13%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2009 |
ESP
1 - 0
IRQ
93%
7%
1%
|
83 | 99 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2009 |
RSA
0 - 0
IRQ
43%
25%
32%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Azerbaijan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2009 |
AZE
1 - 1
RUS
11%
23%
66%
|
66 | 93 | 27 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
LIE
0 - 2
AZE
24%
24%
52%
|
66 | 27 | 39 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2009 |
GER
4 - 0
AZE
87%
10%
3%
|
66 | 97 | 31 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
AZE
1 - 2
FIN
20%
28%
53%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2009 |
AZE
0 - 2
GER
7%
17%
77%
|
67 | 97 | 30 | 0 |