Iran vs Zambia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.6%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
10.4%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2008 |
KWT
2 - 2
IRN
23%
26%
50%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2008 |
BHR
1 - 0
IRN
20%
26%
54%
|
90 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2008 |
IRN
0 - 0
SYR
75%
17%
8%
|
90 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2008 |
IRN
0 - 0
CRC
62%
22%
16%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2008 |
QAT
0 - 0
IRN
23%
26%
51%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2008 |
LBY
2 - 2
ZAM
35%
26%
39%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2008 |
EGY
1 - 1
ZAM
85%
10%
5%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2008 |
CMR
5 - 1
ZAM
68%
19%
13%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2008 |
SDN
0 - 3
ZAM
28%
23%
49%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2008 |
MAR
2 - 0
ZAM
63%
23%
15%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |