Iran vs South Korea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.2%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
27.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2014 |
BIH
3 - 1
IRN
33%
25%
42%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2014 |
ARG
1 - 0
IRN
79%
15%
7%
|
87 | 94 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2014 |
IRN
0 - 0
NGA
50%
25%
26%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2014 |
TTO
0 - 2
IRN
25%
26%
49%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2014 |
IRN
1 - 1
ANG
73%
18%
9%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
South Korea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2014 |
JOR
0 - 1
KOR
22%
25%
54%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2014 |
KOR
1 - 3
CRC
44%
26%
30%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2014 |
KOR
2 - 0
PAR
39%
27%
34%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2014 |
KOR
0 - 1
URU
25%
25%
51%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2014 |
KOR
3 - 1
VEN
51%
25%
24%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |