Iran vs South Korea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.7%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
29.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2007 |
MAS
0 - 2
IRN
3%
12%
85%
|
90 | 55 | 35 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2007 |
CHN
2 - 2
IRN
26%
23%
52%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2007 |
IRN
2 - 1
UZB
80%
13%
7%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2007 |
IRN
8 - 1
JAM
72%
19%
9%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2007 |
IRQ
1 - 2
IRN
30%
27%
44%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
South Korea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2007 |
IDN
0 - 1
KOR
7%
15%
78%
|
89 | 65 | 24 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2007 |
BHR
2 - 1
KOR
9%
18%
73%
|
90 | 76 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 Jul. 2007 |
KOR
1 - 1
KSA
62%
22%
16%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2007 |
KOR
2 - 1
UZB
66%
21%
13%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2007 |
KOR
3 - 0
IRQ
60%
24%
17%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |