Iran vs Qatar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.2%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
11.3%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
IRN
2 - 1
JPN
41%
24%
35%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2024 |
IRN
1 - 1
SYR
83%
12%
5%
|
90 | 70 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2024 |
IRN
2 - 1
UAE
75%
16%
9%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2024 |
HKG
0 - 1
IRN
6%
15%
78%
|
90 | 47 | 43 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
IRN
4 - 1
PLE
86%
11%
4%
|
90 | 63 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Qatar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
QAT
1 - 1
UZB
49%
24%
28%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2024 |
QAT
2 - 1
PLE
80%
14%
6%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2024 |
QAT
1 - 0
CHN
54%
23%
24%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2024 |
TJK
0 - 1
QAT
15%
21%
64%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2024 |
QAT
3 - 0
LBN
78%
15%
7%
|
82 | 62 | 20 | 0 |