Iran vs Qatar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.7%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.9%
8.4%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2012 |
IRN
2 - 2
JOR
76%
17%
8%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
IDN
1 - 4
IRN
18%
24%
58%
|
90 | 66 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
BHR
1 - 1
IRN
22%
26%
53%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2011 |
IRN
6 - 0
BHR
73%
18%
9%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2011 |
IRN
7 - 0
PLE
93%
6%
1%
|
90 | 54 | 36 | 0 |
Matches
Qatar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2012 |
QAT
0 - 5
SWE
15%
24%
61%
|
81 | 93 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
QAT
0 - 0
BHR
50%
26%
25%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
QAT
4 - 0
IDN
66%
21%
14%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2011 |
QAT
0 - 0
OMA
44%
26%
30%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2011 |
IDN
2 - 3
QAT
28%
26%
46%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |