Iran vs Paraguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
35.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2002 |
SYR
2 - 4
IRN
26%
25%
50%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2002 |
IRQ
0 - 0
IRN
42%
26%
32%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2002 |
IRN
2 - 0
LBN
85%
11%
4%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2002 |
IRN
0 - 1
JOR
73%
18%
8%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2002 |
UKR
0 - 1
IRN
42%
25%
33%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2002 |
BRA
0 - 1
PAR
83%
12%
5%
|
90 | 99 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2002 |
GER
1 - 0
PAR
81%
12%
7%
|
90 | 95 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2002 |
SVN
1 - 3
PAR
19%
23%
58%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2002 |
ESP
3 - 1
PAR
83%
12%
5%
|
90 | 98 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2002 |
PAR
2 - 2
RSA
75%
16%
9%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |