Iran vs Nepal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.5%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.5%
4-0
10.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
12.5%
3-0
15.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.5%
2-0
17.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.5%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.1%
10.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.1%
0
10.5%
3%
Win probability
0.34
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2006 |
IRN
1 - 1
ANG
81%
13%
6%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2006 |
POR
2 - 0
IRN
83%
11%
5%
|
89 | 96 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2006 |
MEX
3 - 1
IRN
65%
19%
16%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2006 |
IRN
5 - 2
BIH
83%
12%
5%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2006 |
CRO
2 - 2
IRN
57%
24%
19%
|
89 | 93 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Nepal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2006 |
NPL
2 - 1
SYR
15%
20%
65%
|
49 | 72 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2006 |
LKA
1 - 1
NPL
39%
25%
37%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
IND
0 - 3
NPL
62%
23%
16%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +2 |
| 06 Apr. 2006 |
LKA
1 - 1
NPL
41%
25%
35%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2006 |
BRN
2 - 1
NPL
34%
23%
43%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | -1 |