Iran vs Iraq analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.8%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
13.7%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2007 |
MEX
4 - 0
IRN
63%
21%
16%
|
90 | 93 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2007 |
QAT
0 - 1
IRN
23%
26%
51%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2007 |
IRN
2 - 2
BLR
71%
19%
10%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2007 |
UAE
0 - 2
IRN
24%
25%
51%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2007 |
NPL
0 - 2
IRN
11%
19%
71%
|
89 | 50 | 39 | 0 |
Matches
Iraq
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2007 |
JOR
0 - 0
IRQ
31%
28%
41%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2007 |
JOR
1 - 1
IRQ
30%
28%
42%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2007 |
KSA
1 - 0
IRQ
52%
23%
25%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
BHR
1 - 1
IRQ
32%
25%
43%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2007 |
QAT
0 - 1
IRQ
40%
26%
34%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |