Iran vs Lebanon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.3%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.9%
8.8%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2013 |
QAT
0 - 1
IRN
24%
26%
50%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2013 |
OMA
3 - 1
IRN
24%
27%
49%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2013 |
KWT
1 - 1
IRN
26%
24%
50%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
IRN
5 - 0
LBN
80%
14%
6%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
IRN
2 - 1
YEM
85%
11%
4%
|
87 | 58 | 29 | +1 |
Matches
Lebanon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2013 |
LBN
1 - 1
KOR
11%
21%
68%
|
61 | 89 | 28 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2013 |
UZB
1 - 0
LBN
70%
19%
11%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2013 |
LBN
5 - 2
THA
12%
17%
71%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
IRN
5 - 0
LBN
80%
14%
6%
|
60 | 88 | 28 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2013 |
QAT
1 - 0
LBN
68%
20%
12%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | 0 |