Iran vs Lebanon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.9%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.9%
6.2%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
IRN
2 - 1
YEM
85%
11%
4%
|
87 | 58 | 29 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2012 |
IRN
0 - 0
BHR
73%
17%
10%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
IRN
0 - 0
KSA
58%
22%
20%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2012 |
IRN
0 - 1
UZB
70%
19%
12%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2012 |
IRN
6 - 1
TJK
92%
6%
2%
|
88 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Lebanon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2013 |
QAT
1 - 0
LBN
68%
20%
12%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2013 |
LBN
0 - 0
GAB
25%
24%
51%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2012 |
KWT
2 - 1
LBN
77%
15%
8%
|
60 | 80 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2012 |
LBN
0 - 1
PLE
56%
23%
21%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
OMA
0 - 1
LBN
72%
18%
10%
|
60 | 80 | 20 | +1 |