Iran vs Lebanon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.6%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
13%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13%
5.5%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2003 |
LBN
0 - 3
IRN
8%
16%
76%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2003 |
IRN
3 - 0
PRK
74%
17%
10%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2003 |
PRK
1 - 3
IRN
15%
20%
64%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
IRN
3 - 0
NZL
69%
19%
12%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2003 |
JOR
3 - 2
IRN
12%
20%
68%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Lebanon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2003 |
LBN
0 - 3
IRN
8%
16%
76%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2003 |
LBN
0 - 2
JOR
32%
26%
42%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2003 |
LBN
1 - 1
PRK
29%
25%
47%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2003 |
JOR
1 - 0
LBN
49%
25%
26%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2003 |
BHR
4 - 3
LBN
47%
26%
27%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |