Iran vs Hong Kong analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
89%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
6.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
<0%
+5
7.4%
4-0
11.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
13.7%
3-0
17.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.2%
+3
20.4%
2-0
18.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.4%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
18.7%
9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
3.5%
2-2
0.6%
3-3
0.1%
0
8.9%
2%
Win probability
0.26
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
0.5%
2-3
0.1%
-1
1.8%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
QAT
0 - 4
IRN
23%
26%
52%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
JOR
1 - 3
IRN
13%
24%
64%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
IRN
4 - 0
ANG
82%
13%
5%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2023 |
BGR
0 - 1
IRN
20%
25%
55%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
IRN
2 - 1
KEN
84%
12%
4%
|
89 | 63 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Hong Kong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
BTN
2 - 0
HKG
12%
17%
71%
|
48 | 22 | 26 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
HKG
4 - 0
BTN
75%
15%
10%
|
48 | 22 | 26 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2023 |
HKG
10 - 0
BRN
73%
16%
12%
|
48 | 21 | 27 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2023 |
KHM
1 - 1
HKG
19%
22%
59%
|
48 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2023 |
HKG
0 - 1
THA
10%
16%
74%
|
49 | 70 | 21 | -1 |