Iran vs Hong Kong analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.6%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.7%
4-0
10.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
+4
12.7%
3-0
15.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.6%
2-0
17%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.3%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.7%
10.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.1%
0
10.3%
3.1%
Win probability
0.36
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2021 |
IRN
3 - 0
SYR
79%
14%
7%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2020 |
BIH
0 - 2
IRN
39%
27%
35%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2020 |
UZB
1 - 2
IRN
26%
27%
47%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2019 |
IRQ
2 - 1
IRN
22%
28%
49%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2019 |
BHR
1 - 0
IRN
18%
27%
55%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Hong Kong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2019 |
HKG
0 - 2
CHN
11%
20%
70%
|
53 | 82 | 29 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
JPN
5 - 0
HKG
87%
10%
3%
|
53 | 88 | 35 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2019 |
KOR
2 - 0
HKG
82%
13%
4%
|
54 | 88 | 34 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2019 |
HKG
2 - 0
KHM
74%
16%
10%
|
54 | 34 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2019 |
HKG
0 - 0
BHR
13%
20%
68%
|
53 | 75 | 22 | +1 |