Iran vs Hong Kong analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.5%
Win probability
3.18
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.3%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.5%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.7%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.3%
7.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 1968 |
IRN
4 - 0
TWN
84%
10%
6%
|
72 | 46 | 26 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1967 |
TUR
1 - 0
IRN
51%
22%
28%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1967 |
PAK
0 - 2
IRN
42%
22%
36%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 1966 |
MMR
1 - 0
IRN
41%
22%
37%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 1966 |
IRN
1 - 0
JPN
51%
21%
29%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Hong Kong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1968 |
ISR
6 - 1
HKG
80%
12%
8%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1968 |
MMR
2 - 0
HKG
79%
13%
9%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 1967 |
THA
5 - 1
HKG
45%
24%
31%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 1967 |
MAS
2 - 0
HKG
57%
20%
23%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 1967 |
KOR
1 - 0
HKG
67%
17%
16%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | 0 |