Iran vs North Korea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.6%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.7%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
14%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.2%
8.2%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
KSA
1 - 1
IRN
33%
28%
39%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2008 |
IRN
1 - 0
AZE
80%
15%
6%
|
91 | 66 | 25 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2008 |
IRN
2 - 1
JOR
74%
18%
8%
|
91 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2008 |
IRN
2 - 0
SYR
74%
17%
9%
|
91 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2008 |
IRN
6 - 1
QAT
72%
19%
10%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
North Korea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2008 |
PRK
1 - 1
KOR
19%
26%
55%
|
78 | 90 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
UAE
1 - 2
PRK
56%
23%
21%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2008 |
UZB
0 - 0
PRK
60%
22%
18%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2008 |
QAT
2 - 1
PRK
59%
22%
19%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2008 |
MMR
0 - 4
PRK
20%
24%
56%
|
77 | 55 | 22 | 0 |