England vs Yugoslavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.1%
9.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 1972 |
SCO
0 - 1
ENG
28%
27%
45%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1972 |
ENG
0 - 1
NIR
87%
10%
4%
|
92 | 76 | 16 | -1 |
| 20 May. 1972 |
WAL
0 - 3
ENG
19%
25%
56%
|
92 | 75 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1972 |
BRD
0 - 0
ENG
52%
23%
25%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1972 |
ENG
1 - 3
BRD
67%
19%
14%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Yugoslavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1972 |
ITA
3 - 1
YUG
68%
19%
13%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 1972 |
ARG
2 - 4
YUG
56%
24%
20%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 1972 |
CSK
1 - 2
YUG
61%
21%
18%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 1972 |
BRA
3 - 0
YUG
75%
16%
9%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 1972 |
SCO
2 - 2
YUG
45%
26%
29%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |